As you know, India needs 328 to win and has made 4/0 at the close of the 4th day.
The weather prospects on Tuesday, 19th January are not great. See this or any similar site:
https://www.bbc.com/weather/2174003
Now we look at past performances in the 4th innings at Brisbane, going back all the way to 1931.
Here we have all 4th innings scores above 100.
The highest to win is 236/7 by Australia in 1951-52.
The highest to win against Australia is 170/3 by England in 1978-79 (when Australia a weak Packerized team and lost the series 5-1).
The highest to draw is 278/6 by England in 1962-63
There is also a tie by Australia who made 232 against WI in 1960-61.
The highest to lose is 450 by Pakistan in 2016-17 (lost by 39 runs). Then there is 370 by England in 2006-07 (lost by 277, chasing 648). Then there are two losses by India in 1967-68 (355, lost by 39) and in 1977-78 (324, lost by 16).
So it is not impossible to make 300+ in the last innings. It may be possible to grind out a draw (although Vihari and Ashwin are not here now). For anything else either Australia has to bowl exceptionally well or India’s first 5 have to bat exceptionally well (to make 324 in less than a day).
A rain-ruined draw is the most likely outcome.
abn397 