Making sense of the T20 qualifiers for the 2020 Championship

First, a quick look at the T20 World Championship which will take place in Australia in October-November 2020:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_ICC_T20_World_Cup

It is a 16-team championship. These 10 are already in:

1.Australia

2. Pakistan

3. India

4. England

5. South Africa

6. New Zealand

7. West Indies

8. Afghanistan

9. Bangladesh

10. Sri Lanka

9 and 10 still have to fight for a place in the Super 12, with the 6 qualifiers.

The T20 qualifying tournament is being held in the UAE from 18 Oct to 2 Nov 2019. 14 teams are in the fray. Zimbabwe was to be one of them. Despite their late reprieve, they have already been replaced by Nigeria for the qualifiers.

Warm-up matches in the UAE start from Oct 15.

The 14 teams contesting for 6 places in the tournament are:

1. Bermuda

2. Canada

3. Hong Kong

4. Ireland (including the Irish Republic and Northern Ireland)

5. Jersey (nominally part of the UK)

6. Kenya

7. Namibia

8. Netherlands

9. Nigeria

10. Oman

11. Papua New Guinea

12. Scotland (UK again).

13. Singapore

14. United Arab Emirates

Who will be the 6 qualifiers? Predicting a tournament like this was notoriously difficult in the past. We now have some basis in the form of the T20I ranking tables.

This was how it stood on Oct 10, 2019:

T20I Ranking Oct 10 2019

Remember to leave out Zimbabwe for the moment. The top 6 ranks among the qualifiers would be 1. Scotland 2. UAE 3. Ireland 4. Oman 5. PNG 6. Netherlands

(Next in the rankings are Namibia and Hong Kong, though their ranking points  seem to be somewhat less than that of the Netherlands and the other teams listed above). Nepal, despite its higher ranking, did not get through the earlier qualifying rounds.

These 6 will join Bangladesh and Sri Lanka for 4 places in the Super 12. While there may be stray upsets over these “senior” teams, I doubt very much if the qualifiers would replace them in the Super 12s. Thereafter it could be anyone’s game. But more predictable than the FIFA Cup.

Also see: https://www.espncricinfo.com/story/_/id/27858401/all-need-know-men-t20-world-cup-qualifier

for more details.